Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000978 0.001015 0.001053 0.001094 0.001139 0.001184 0.001235
2025-09-21 0.000902 0.000956 0.001013 0.001077 0.001147 0.001223 0.001311
2025-09-28 0.000851 0.000916 0.000987 0.001069 0.001163 0.001267 0.001392
2025-10-05 0.000790 0.000861 0.000940 0.001033 0.001141 0.001265 0.001419
2025-10-12 0.000759 0.000837 0.000924 0.001029 0.001155 0.001303 0.001491
2025-10-19 0.000733 0.000816 0.000910 0.001027 0.001169 0.001339 0.001562
2025-10-26 0.000707 0.000794 0.000893 0.001018 0.001174 0.001364 0.001620
2025-11-02 0.000690 0.000780 0.000885 0.001020 0.001190 0.001402 0.001696
2025-11-09 0.000668 0.000760 0.000869 0.001010 0.001190 0.001420 0.001744
2025-11-16 0.000648 0.000741 0.000853 0.000999 0.001189 0.001435 0.001789
2025-11-23 0.000641 0.000739 0.000857 0.001014 0.001220 0.001494 0.001898
2025-11-30 0.000630 0.000730 0.000853 0.001017 0.001236 0.001532 0.001980
2025-12-07 0.000613 0.000714 0.000838 0.001006 0.001235 0.001546 0.002029
2025-12-14 0.000595 0.000696 0.000821 0.000992 0.001226 0.001551 0.002063
2025-12-21 0.000582 0.000683 0.000811 0.000986 0.001229 0.001571 0.002122
2025-12-28 0.000558 0.000657 0.000782 0.000954 0.001194 0.001535 0.002090
2026-01-04 0.000548 0.000648 0.000775 0.000951 0.001201 0.001559 0.002156
2026-01-11 0.000539 0.000640 0.000768 0.000949 0.001207 0.001584 0.002223
2026-01-18 0.000528 0.000629 0.000758 0.000941 0.001206 0.001597 0.002273
2026-01-25 0.000521 0.000623 0.000755 0.000943 0.001218 0.001630 0.002357
2026-02-01 0.000510 0.000612 0.000744 0.000934 0.001213 0.001637 0.002397
2026-02-08 0.000500 0.000601 0.000733 0.000924 0.001208 0.001643 0.002436
2026-02-15 0.000498 0.000602 0.000738 0.000937 0.001237 0.001704 0.002580